Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 179 | $0.223 | $153.05 | +$113.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 80.65 |
| $0.620 |
| $52.82 |
| +$2.82 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 102.04 | $0.490 | $47.45 | -$2.55 |
| buy |
| 102.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $50 |
| 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 109.35 | $0.973 | $106.4 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 179 | $0.223 | $40 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.36 | $0.457 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 60.54 | $0.826 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 199.84 | $0.998 | $199.44 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.310 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.310 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 234.59 | $0.640 | $150.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 434.44 | $0.660 | $286.73 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 258.71 | $0.387 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 433.33 | $0.994 | $430.73 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 511.64 | $0.068 | $35 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 184.36 | $0.122 | $22.49 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 630.78 | $0.159 | $100 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.011 | $25.7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.041 | $100 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 106.67 | $0.075 | $8 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 339.81 | $0.630 | $214.08 | Nov 12, 2025 |