Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.08 |
| $0.947 |
| $1.02 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.956 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.987 | $1.09 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.954 | $1.11 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.987 | $1.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.962 | $1.24 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.979 | $1.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.988 | $1.16 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.955 | $1.11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.979 | $1.08 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.957 | $1.03 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.997 | $1.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.941 | $1.02 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.974 | $1.01 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.964 | $1.25 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.996 | $1.17 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.972 | $1.31 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 19.26 | $0.740 | $14.25 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No | buy | 14.37 | $0.820 | $11.78 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 11.85 | $0.860 | $10.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.13K | $0.001 | $10.13 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.53K | $0.001 | $10.53 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.997 | $1.11 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.950 | $1.19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.989 | $1.28 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.940 | $1.34 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.979 | $1.54 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.990 | $1.54 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.920 | $1.15 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.997 | $1.11 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.981 | $1.54 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.993 | $1.18 | May 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.987 | $1.28 | May 20, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.997 | $1.36 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.982 | $1.54 | May 20, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.944 | $1.35 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.2K | $0.001 | $10.2 | May 15, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.990 | $1.05 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.978 | $1.22 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.06 | $0.981 | $4.96 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.995 | $1.19 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.986 | $1.05 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.974 | $1.21 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.986 | $1.34 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.940 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |