Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 934.88 | $0.984 | $919.82 | Apr 9, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 930.95 |
| $0.988 |
| $919.78 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 922.76 | $0.986 | $909.84 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1K | $0.983 | $983 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 46.27 | $0.950 | $43.96 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.943 | $282.9 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.949 | $1.31K | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 1.34K | $0.978 | $1.31K | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.34K | $0.979 | $1.31K | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 640.71 | $0.935 | $598.98 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 600 | $0.960 | $576 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 600 | $0.966 | $579.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 521.3 | $0.958 | $499.41 | Feb 16, 2026 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 266.9 | $0.747 | $199.41 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.480 | $0.05 | Feb 5, 2026 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 129 | $0.730 | $94.17 | Feb 5, 2026 |
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 116.8 | $0.696 | $81.32 | Feb 5, 2026 |
TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 204.13 | $0.937 | $191.29 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.86K | $0.490 | $909.76 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.18K | $0.490 | $2.05K | Feb 4, 2026 |
TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 697.63 | $0.743 | $518.45 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.860 | $17.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | sell | 340.41 | $0.770 | $262.12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 611.01 | $0.789 | $481.86 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 3.12K | $0.742 | $2.32K | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No | buy | 49.25 | $0.186 | $9.16 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 74.42 | $0.107 | $7.98 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 478.42 | $0.099 | $47.32 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 251.24 | $0.089 | $22.25 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 856.36 | $0.949 | $812.54 | Feb 3, 2026 |
duplicate Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 129.72 | $0.926 | $120.08 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 20K | $0.987 | $19.74K | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 22K | $0.021 | $462 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 22K | $0.028 | $616 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10.23K | $0.974 | $9.97K | Feb 3, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 473.76 | $0.715 | $338.78 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.716 | $780.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 241.33 | $0.690 | $166.52 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 308.29 | $0.789 | $243.31 | Feb 2, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Up | buy | 500 | $0.043 | $21.45 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz | buy | 968 | $0.890 | $861.52 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicAlcaraz | buy | 169 | $0.890 | $150.41 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53K | $0.973 | $2.46K | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 10K | $0.981 | $9.81K | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 722.75 | $0.981 | $709.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.011 | $27.63 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 855.37 | $0.015 | $12.73 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.66K | $0.009 | $14.14 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in January?Yes | buy | 690.79 | $0.067 | $46.14 | Jan 31, 2026 |