Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 4.51K | $0.734 | $4.22K | +$905.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 197 | $0.200 | $39.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.17K |
| $0.607 |
| $2.03K |
| +$711.07 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 2.53K | $0.596 | $1.81K | +$300.91 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | No | 328 | $0.910 | $327.02 | +$28.54 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.740 | $185 | +$37 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Yes | 181 | $0.730 | $171.05 | +$38.92 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 181.68 | $0.586 | $150.43 | +$44.04 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.315 | $111.66 | -$223.56 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 630.43 | $0.593 | $85.11 | -$288.8 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 100.9 | $0.510 | $76.18 | +$24.72 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 64 | $0.430 | $56.96 | +$29.44 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | No | 48 | $0.880 | $44.64 | +$2.4 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 94.47 | $0.959 | $40.81 | -$49.82 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 793 | $0.141 | $36.08 | -$75.8 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 33 | $0.940 | $32.26 | +$1.24 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 438 | $0.270 | $30.66 | -$87.6 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 55 | $0.590 | $26.76 | -$5.69 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 27 | $0.510 | $24.98 | +$11.21 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.290 | $6.7 | -$51.3 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.250 | $1.14 | -$5.11 |
| buy |
| 5.47 |
| $0.310 |
| $1.7 |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.190 | $13.11 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.34 | $0.410 | $3.42 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 21.8 | $0.120 | $2.62 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 37 | $0.910 | $33.67 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?No | buy | 11.69 | $0.870 | $10.17 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Don Lemon charges dropped?Yes | buy | 146.95 | $0.530 | $77.88 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?No | buy | 75 | $0.250 | $18.75 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.370 | $16.28 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.380 | $41.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No | buy | 14.92 | $0.720 | $10.74 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.529 | $264.58 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 21 | $0.800 | $16.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 450.35 | $0.218 | $98.21 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?No | buy | 73 | $0.884 | $64.52 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | buy | 137.48 | $0.470 | $64.62 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.620 | $81.86 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 438 | $0.010 | $4.38 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.669 | $334.44 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | buy | 500 | $0.445 | $222.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 438 | $0.076 | $33.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?No | buy | 336 | $0.850 | $285.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.020 | $6.56 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.109 | $270.32 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes | buy | 101.07 | $0.370 | $37.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.490 | $5.05 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.410 | $45.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 328 | $0.500 | $164 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes | buy | 548 | $0.560 | $306.88 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "UFC" or "Dana White" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?No | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.070 | $7.91 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 143.26 | $0.100 | $14.33 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?No | buy | 15 | $0.880 | $13.2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.010 | $4.85 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 39.01 | $0.800 | $31.21 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 517 | $0.948 | $490.12 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.100 | $109.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?No | buy | 100 | $0.887 | $88.7 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?No | buy | 136 | $0.882 | $119.95 | Jan 23, 2026 |