Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 89.17 | $0.875 | $78.02 | -$0.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 175.43 | $0.929 | $162.97 | 33m ago |
|
| No |
| 87.19 |
| $0.803 |
| $70.85 |
| +$0.85 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 89.76 | $0.557 | $48.02 | -$1.98 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | 100.41 | $0.727 | $29.62 | -$43.35 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 55.34 | $0.695 | $25.18 | -$13.3 |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.97 | $0.790 | $18.98 | -$11.02 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.510 | $9.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.660 | $9.85 | -$0.15 |
| sell |
| 89.16 |
| $0.870 |
| $77.57 |
| 33m ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | sell | 100.4 | $0.280 | $28.11 | 34m ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.283 | $11.32 | 1h ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No | sell | 117.1 | $0.875 | $102.46 | 1h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No | buy | 117.11 | $0.854 | $100 | 2h ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 2h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.500 | $9.8 | 2h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 57.47 | $0.982 | $56.44 | 22h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 22h ago |
 Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.980 | $10.42 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.994 | $12.43 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.04 | $0.526 | $20 | 5d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 32.22 | $0.621 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.535 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 51.78 | $0.460 | $23.82 | 10d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 116.83 | $0.350 | $40.89 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 115.81 | $0.350 | $40.53 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 26.14 | $0.765 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 61.05 | $0.819 | $50 | 19d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.743 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | 20d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.855 | $150 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.720 | $50 | 20d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 27.38 | $0.730 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.667 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.710 | $58.22 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | sell | 30.43 | $0.930 | $28.3 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | 26d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.018 | $20 | 26d ago |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.405 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 91.43 | $0.438 | $40 | 26d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | 26d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 37.97 | $0.790 | $30 | 26d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.019 | $10 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | 27d ago |