Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.841 | $2.28K | +$87.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 1K | $0.410 | $410 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.9K |
| $0.378 |
| $1.03K |
| -$66.89 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 927.71 | $0.445 | $862.3 | +$449.36 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 649.76 | $0.242 | $558.79 | +$401.57 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.05K | $0.544 | $498.74 | -$72.53 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 250.04 | $0.734 | $235.54 | +$52.01 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.084 | $225.48 | +$124.87 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.810 | $197.5 | +$35.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.130 | $107 | +$81 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 200 | $0.609 | $99.5 | -$22.3 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.900 | $97.55 | +$7.55 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 620.9 | $0.242 | $89.72 | -$60.54 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.028 | $42.93 | +$2.86 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 36.75 | $0.540 | $18.56 | -$1.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 19.89 | $0.540 | $10.44 | -$0.3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | 1.5K | $0.004 | $5.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.280 | $4.35 | -$16.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4.46 | $0.701 | $3.06 | -$0.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 224 | $0.042 | $0.34 | -$9 |
| sell |
| 80 |
| $0.946 |
| $75.68 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.981 | $588.6 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 36.75 | $0.410 | $15.07 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 600 | $0.992 | $595.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 237.25 | $0.843 | $200 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 201.62 | $0.150 | $30.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.060 | $24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.199 | $39.85 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 218.35 | $0.570 | $124.46 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 76.5 | $0.420 | $32.13 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 59.67 | $0.440 | $26.25 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 800 | $0.560 | $448 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.38K | $0.017 | $23.38 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | May 30, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 999.99 | $0.340 | $340 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 396.19 | $0.880 | $348.65 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 17.88 | $0.870 | $15.56 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 71.12 | $0.130 | $9.25 | May 30, 2026 |
 Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenRico | sell | 1.1K | $0.610 | $671 | May 23, 2026 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenRico | buy | 1K | $0.440 | $440 | May 23, 2026 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenRico | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.720 | $4.41 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.710 | $10.64 | May 23, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 120 | $0.570 | $68.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.884 | $88.4 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 33 | $0.800 | $26.4 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 66 | $0.800 | $52.8 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.800 | $24.8 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 64 | $0.423 | $27.07 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.700 | $70 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.440 | $13.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.234 | $8.67 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 61 | $0.460 | $28.06 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | May 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | May 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.760 | $22.04 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.760 | $14.44 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.890 | $267 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 78.58 | $0.720 | $56.58 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.450 | $12.6 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.460 | $5.52 | May 12, 2026 |