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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 394.34 | $0.899 | $354.42 | Jan 22, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 131.4 |
| $0.971 |
| $127.58 |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.745 | $800 | Dec 7, 2025 |
GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 979.82 | $0.919 | $900 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 841.5 | $0.960 | $807.84 | Nov 2, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by November 30?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.869 | $1K | Nov 2, 2025 |
French election called by December 31?No | buy | 992.06 | $0.806 | $800 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.769 | $2K | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.144 | $300 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will DraftKings acquire Railbird by October 31?No | buy | 698.43 | $0.859 | $600 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.961 | $1K | Oct 11, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.080 | $400 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.490 | $1K | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will DraftKings acquire Railbird by October 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.850 | $93.5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.908 | $363.16 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 688 | $0.937 | $644.66 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.936 | $93.6 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.129 | $22.02 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.120 | $10.8 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 326 | $0.830 | $270.57 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 510 | $0.820 | $418.2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.880 | $105.6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Oct 1, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.770 | $770 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?No | buy | 838.81 | $0.799 | $670.45 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 109.05 | $0.590 | $64.34 | Sep 16, 2025 |
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.790 | $1.19K | Sep 16, 2025 |
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No | buy | 542.22 | $0.322 | $174.61 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 160 | $0.270 | $43.2 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 400 | $0.260 | $104 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 668.2 | $0.250 | $167.05 | Sep 13, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1K | $0.630 | $631.75 | Sep 12, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by September 15?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.940 | $1.19K | Sep 11, 2025 |
French election called by September 15?No | buy | 108.53 | $0.940 | $102.02 | Sep 6, 2025 |
French election called by September 15?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.799 | $876.69 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Trump x Modi talk by September 5?No | buy | 102.02 | $0.980 | $100 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.980 | $1.16K | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.270 | $135 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.910 | $1.36K | Sep 3, 2025 |
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?No | buy | 3.31K | $0.106 | $350 | Sep 2, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 450 | $0.810 | $364.5 | Sep 2, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 157 | $0.760 | $119.32 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump resign today?No | buy | 3K | $0.992 | $2.98K | Sep 2, 2025 |
Trump x Elon talk by August 31?No | buy | 38.7 | $0.982 | $38 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Trump x Elon talk by August 31?No | buy | 226.6 | $0.971 | $220 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.980 | $42 | Aug 25, 2025 |
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?No | buy | 716.99 | $0.976 | $700 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| buy | 116 | $0.620 | $71.92 | Aug 18, 2025 |
Will Melania Trump sue Hunter Biden by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.942 | $37.68 | Aug 18, 2025 |