Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.133 | $146.65 | -$3.35 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.133 | $150 | 17h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 483.82 |
| $0.354 |
| $94.35 |
| -$77.15 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | No | 146.12 | $0.399 | $48.95 | -$9.38 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.625 | $47.5 | -$15 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 50.01 | $0.850 | $46.26 | +$3.75 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 50 | $0.430 | $19.25 | -$2.25 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.250 | $14.5 | -$10.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.225 | $11.7 | -$1.8 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 102.49 | $0.348 | $10.76 | -$24.91 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $5 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Yes | buy | 229.41 | $0.262 | $60 | 1d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 65.3 | $0.766 | $50 | 2d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 60 | $0.480 | $28.8 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.600 | $119.99 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 40 | $0.590 | $23.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.610 | $3.15 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 117.2 | $0.390 | $45.71 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 140.38 | $0.600 | $84.23 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 255 | $0.550 | $140.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 374.5 | $0.440 | $164.78 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 400 | $0.610 | $244 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo GiustinoOlle Wallin | sell | 40 | $0.710 | $28.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo GiustinoLorenzo Giustino | sell | 45 | $0.280 | $12.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo GiustinoOlle Wallin | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 30.62 | $0.100 | $3.06 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No | sell | 164.64 | $0.004 | $0.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 121 | $0.057 | $6.94 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 250.6 | $0.471 | $118.03 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No | sell | 20.29 | $0.340 | $6.9 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 27.23 | $0.284 | $7.72 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 22.77 | $0.320 | $7.28 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 404.99 | $0.350 | $141.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.368 | $1.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 95.67 | $0.796 | $76.15 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.850 | $61.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.179 | $2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 55.47 | $0.200 | $11.11 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.795 | $39.75 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | sell | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | sell | 41.56 | $0.540 | $22.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.168 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |