Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Someone else announced as next BlackRock CEO?Yes | sell | 134.13 | $0.011 | $1.48 | Nov 14, 2024 |
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| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.340 |
| $6.8 |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | buy | 200 | $0.999 | $199.8 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.004 | $0.36 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | sell | 699.99 | $0.001 | $0.7 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?Yes | sell | 99.35 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Oct 23, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 11, 2024 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | sell | 47.79 | $0.066 | $3.15 | Oct 9, 2024 |
Iran strike on US military before October?No | buy | 279 | $0.999 | $278.72 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 335.06 | $0.002 | $0.67 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Sep 27, 2024 |
Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 33.03 | $0.042 | $1.39 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Biden pardon Trump?No | sell | 40 | $0.944 | $37.76 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.410 | $0.63 | Sep 20, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 200.1 | $0.998 | $199.7 | Sep 16, 2024 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | buy | 44.72 | $0.150 | $6.71 | Sep 15, 2024 |
US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.040 | $46.66 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Sep 14, 2024 |
Will there be another debate?No | sell | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?No | sell | 22 | $0.210 | $4.62 | Sep 12, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Sep 11, 2024 |
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Sep 9, 2024 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.7 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Sep 9, 2024 |
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?No | sell | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Sep 6, 2024 |
$BTC dips below $40k before October?Yes | sell | 99.01 | $0.039 | $3.86 | Sep 6, 2024 |
Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30?Yes | sell | 46.67 | $0.070 | $3.27 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Someone else announced as next BlackRock CEO?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | sell | 11.55 | $0.760 | $8.78 | Sep 4, 2024 |
Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?Yes | sell | 4.12 | $0.963 | $3.97 | Sep 4, 2024 |
$BTC dips below $50k before October?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.670 | $9.85 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Sep 3, 2024 |
$BTC dips below $40k before October?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | Sep 3, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 198 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 525.26 | $0.001 | $0.53 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 99.03 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 177.36 | $0.001 | $0.18 | Sep 2, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | sell | 1.12K | $0.001 | $1.12 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Ukraine win the most medals in the 2024 Paralympics?Yes | sell | 303 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Crimean bridge hit before September?Yes | sell | 100.01 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Iran strike on US military in August?Yes | sell | 251.39 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Aug 31, 2024 |
US bank failure before September?Yes | sell | 998.99 | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 31, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | buy | 90.4 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Aug 31, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 110 | $0.180 | $19.8 | Aug 30, 2024 |
Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | sell | 42 | $0.750 | $31.5 | Aug 30, 2024 |
Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.880 | $5.28 | Aug 29, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Aug 28, 2024 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.6K | $0.001 | $3.6 | Aug 26, 2024 |