Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Feb 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.04 |
| $0.490 |
| $1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down - October 15Up | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by July 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Trump tariffs Apple before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 DeepSeek V4 released before May?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Apr 29, 2025 |