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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 7.68 | $0.952 | $7.23 | -$0.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.952 | $7.31 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 8.27 |
| $0.770 |
| $6.37 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.510 | $4.22 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.976 | $4.58 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.992 | $4.73 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 3.91 | $0.987 | $3.86 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 3.91 | $0.984 | $3.85 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.991 | $4.09 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 6.37 | $0.987 | $6.29 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.980 | $6.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.982 | $6.13 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.991 | $6.09 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.996 | $6.09 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.999 | $6.11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.963 | $6.12 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.35 | $0.968 | $6.15 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 29?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.991 | $6.1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.996 | $6.1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.974 | $5.97 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.997 | $5.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 5.97 | $0.997 | $5.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.997 | $5.96 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.995 | $5.93 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.985 | $5.93 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.986 | $5.94 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.956 | $5.94 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.978 | $6.08 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | sell | 6.14 | $0.991 | $6.08 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.992 | $6.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.997 | $6.08 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.960 | $5.84 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Lula out before April?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.989 | $5.77 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.998 | $5.77 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.995 | $5.09 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.975 | $3.43 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.974 | $1.93 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Is John McAfee alive?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.994 | $2.29 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.998 | $3.22 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2024?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.990 | $2.33 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.980 | $2.32 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.993 | $2.67 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?Yes | buy | 35.18K | $0.001 | $35.18 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.59K | $0.001 | $27.59 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 35.18K | $0.001 | $35.18 | Dec 16, 2024 |