Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 660 | $0.108 | $49.5 | -$22.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 259.35 |
| $0.251 |
| $37.61 |
| -$27.39 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20.88 | +$0.88 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 372.27 | $0.105 | $20.47 | -$18.52 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20.1 | +$0.1 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 16.13 | $0.744 | $12.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.004 | $11.25 | +$1.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72.1 | $0.264 | $9.73 | -$9.27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.14 | $0.350 | $9.17 | +$3.17 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | Yes | 88.18 | $0.069 | $8.29 | +$2.19 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 76.75 | $0.274 | $8.06 | -$12.94 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 109.09 | $0.110 | $6 | -$6 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 15 | $0.080 | $5.62 | +$4.42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 384.62 | $0.013 | $5 | $0 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 36.36 | $0.220 | $4.55 | -$3.45 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 217.8 | $0.083 | $3.81 | -$14.19 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 109.9 | $0.060 | $3.68 | -$2.92 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 101.48 | $0.049 | $3.2 | -$1.8 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.03 | $0.226 | $2.33 | -$4.67 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 6.66 | $0.340 | $1.76 | -$0.5 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 48.78 | $0.041 | $1.68 | -$0.32 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.080 | $1.54 | -$1.66 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $1.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $1.16 | -$2.64 |
| buy |
| 384.62 |
| $0.013 |
| $5 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.14 | $0.350 | $6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.744 | $12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.170 | $4.72 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 109.09 | $0.110 | $12 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.226 | $7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.220 | $8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.098 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.48 | $0.049 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 71.13 | $0.583 | $41.47 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 98.7 | $0.579 | $57.15 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.241 | $10.84 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 117.8 | $0.034 | $4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 24.5 | $0.983 | $24.08 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 31.03 | $0.290 | $9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.310 | $7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.998 | $16.63 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.11 | $0.604 | $20 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.09K | $0.012 | $24.91 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.009 | $19 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |