Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 793.87 | $0.953 | $770.06 | +$13.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 149.43 | $0.470 | $70.23 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.13K |
| $0.450 |
| $556.88 |
| +$50.63 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 482.62 | $0.650 | $436.77 | +$123.07 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 496.51 | $0.700 | $424.52 | +$76.96 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.870 | $292.95 | +$31.95 |
 Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | No | 298.87 | $0.756 | $280.94 | +$54.86 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 313.32 | $0.706 | $266.95 | +$45.79 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 737.22 | $0.717 | $254.34 | -$273.96 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 256.75 | $0.933 | $246.36 | +$6.8 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 246.79 | $0.670 | $208.53 | +$43.07 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 200.4 | $0.780 | $171.34 | +$15.03 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 193.45 | $0.430 | $161.53 | +$78.35 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 135.18 | $0.770 | $120.99 | +$16.9 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 84.01 | $0.830 | $74.35 | +$4.62 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 493.54 | $0.399 | $71.56 | -$125.57 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 117.44 | $0.520 | $71.05 | +$9.98 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 79.36 | $0.920 | $69.6 | -$3.41 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 115.2 | $0.178 | $58.69 | +$38.19 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 36.71 | $0.860 | $35.65 | +$4.07 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 227.61 | $0.320 | $14.79 | -$58.04 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 225 | $0.090 | $10.13 | -$10.12 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 11.53 | $0.870 | $9.97 | -$0.06 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 41.39 | $0.370 | $8.48 | -$6.83 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 5.74 | $0.640 | $5.65 | +$1.97 |
 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 9.24 | $0.060 | $0.33 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 225 |
| $0.580 |
| $130.5 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 31.05 | $0.814 | $25.27 | 16d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 40.5 | $0.805 | $32.6 | 16d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 153.44 | $0.805 | $123.52 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.140 | $63 | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | sell | 41.1 | $0.420 | $17.26 | 20d ago |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit | buy | 34.16 | $0.240 | $8.2 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.120 | $54 | 20d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.090 | $20.25 | 21d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.830 | $82.99 | 22d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 42.39 | $0.260 | $11.02 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 517.82 | $0.300 | $155.35 | 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.710 | $177.5 | 23d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 432.41 | $0.730 | $315.66 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 40.52 | $0.844 | $34.2 | 24d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.320 | $86.4 | 25d ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 12.12 | $0.600 | $7.27 | 25d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 528.1 | $0.720 | $380.23 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 35.04 | $0.140 | $4.91 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | sell | 65.25 | $0.140 | $9.14 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 86.15 | $0.850 | $73.23 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.850 | $8.73 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 49.98 | $0.160 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.180 | $243 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.5 | $0.260 | $47.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.499 | $2.99 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 55.47 | $0.380 | $21.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.640 | $864 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 65.2 | $0.580 | $37.82 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.430 | $967.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 1.13K | $0.450 | $506.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.690 | $64.07 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 34.21 | $0.900 | $30.79 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.430 | $23.22 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 40.26 | $0.769 | $30.96 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 298.31 | $0.800 | $238.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 263.28 | $0.750 | $197.46 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 282.23 | $0.034 | $9.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.64 | $0.930 | $13.62 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.250 | $67.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.250 | $45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | buy | 204.53 | $0.400 | $81.81 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.420 | $3.36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 93.32 | $0.380 | $35.46 | Jul 22, 2026 |