Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.224 | $90.5 | +$68.08 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.87 | $0.750 | $41.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.460 |
| $80.55 |
| +$34.55 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 61 | $0.893 | $59.44 | +$4.94 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? | No | 60 | $0.744 | $56.76 | +$12.1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 79.47 | $0.318 | $42.91 | +$17.66 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.816 | $37 | +$4.35 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31? | Yes | 116 | $0.150 | $36.54 | +$19.14 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 79.17 | $0.530 | $36.02 | -$5.94 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | No | 31 | $0.578 | $29.2 | +$11.27 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | Yes | 59.83 | $0.180 | $25.73 | +$14.96 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | No | 104.07 | $0.592 | $25.5 | -$36.12 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31? | No | 21.7 | $0.630 | $21.24 | +$7.57 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | No | 18 | $0.540 | $17.33 | +$7.61 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.191 | $11.96 | +$8.14 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 75.13 | $0.751 | $5.63 | -$50.8 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 10.4 | $0.630 | $4.84 | -$1.72 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 61 | $0.174 | $4.24 | -$6.36 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? | Yes | 60 | $0.120 | $2.97 | -$4.23 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | Yes | 23.64 | $0.332 | $2.72 | -$5.12 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | Yes | 18 | $0.480 | $1.89 | -$6.75 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? | Yes | 21.7 | $0.280 | $1.41 | -$4.67 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | Yes | 19.74 | $0.180 | $1.4 | -$2.15 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 29.99 | $0.162 | $1.09 | -$3.76 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 59.82 | $0.040 | $0.27 | -$2.12 |
 Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | No | 0.2 | $0.910 | $0.2 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 42.02 |
| $0.990 |
| $41.6 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 372.6 | $0.750 | $279.45 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 48.5 | $0.920 | $44.62 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | sell | 12.63 | $0.360 | $4.55 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | sell | 22.76 | $0.720 | $16.39 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 343.43 | $0.240 | $82.42 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 275 | $0.730 | $200.75 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.607 | $24.27 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.78 | $0.674 | $49.72 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.981 | $49.03 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 378.05 | $0.240 | $90.63 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.32 | $0.670 | $85.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.680 | $33.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by June 30?No | buy | 26.26 | $0.938 | $24.62 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.04 | $0.940 | $14.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.179 | $3.76 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.930 | $19.53 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?No | buy | 209.54 | $0.901 | $188.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?No | buy | 213.71 | $0.965 | $206.15 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 24.4 | $0.630 | $15.37 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.244 | $2.44 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.816 | $32.65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.073 | $4.67 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.530 | $15.37 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 29.9 | $0.310 | $9.27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.530 | $20.14 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 38 | $0.361 | $13.72 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 260 | $0.220 | $57.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.530 | $28.62 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 53.57 | $0.284 | $15.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $155B by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.680 | $3.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.897 | $52 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.850 | $5.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.090 | $1.14 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 5.96 | $0.780 | $4.65 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 16?No | sell | 100.2 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Austria concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes | sell | 11.31 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.220 | $33 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 18.06 | $0.210 | $3.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 35.22 | $0.204 | $7.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |