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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 4.37K | $0.882 | $4.09K | +$229.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?Up | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | 12d ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.33K |
| $0.858 |
| $2.12K |
| +$121.98 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.63K | $0.932 | $1.56K | +$42.33 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.22K | $0.661 | $703.38 | -$100.8 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 793.57 | $0.773 | $666.6 | +$53.45 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 600 | $0.656 | $339 | -$54.75 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 300 | $0.951 | $289.05 | +$3.75 |
 Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 301.67 | $0.880 | $276.93 | +$11.46 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.940 | $262.5 | -$19.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.625 | $75 | -$50 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 102.41 | $0.632 | $73.22 | +$8.48 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.59 | $0.883 | $38.54 | +$3.57 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 50 | $0.800 | $35.25 | -$4.75 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.410 | $34.5 | -$6.5 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250.27 | $0.496 | $27.53 | -$96.52 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 27.03 | $0.963 | $26.69 | +$0.66 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.760 | $16.5 | -$59.5 |
 Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.390 | $10.75 | -$8.75 |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 88.62 | $0.145 | $7.53 | -$5.34 |
 Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.59 | $0.060 | $5 | +$3.53 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 53.52 | $0.161 | $3.75 | -$4.85 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.023 | $2.45 | +$1.96 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $2.3 | -$2.1 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.108 | $2.16 | $0 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.39 | $0.100 | $1.88 | +$1.15 |
| sell |
| 500.01 |
| $0.996 |
| $498.01 |
| 15d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | sell | 195.83 | $0.060 | $11.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.986 | $6.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?Yes | sell | 44.62 | $0.030 | $1.36 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes | buy | 174.63 | $0.060 | $10.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 599.7 | $0.706 | $423.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 528.93 | $0.958 | $506.71 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | buy | 299.8 | $0.960 | $287.81 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 168.02 | $0.680 | $114.25 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 166.58 | $0.690 | $114.94 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 113.41 | $0.984 | $111.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 669.27 | $0.920 | $615.73 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | sell | 135.69 | $0.998 | $135.42 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 78.17 | $0.976 | $76.29 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 181 | $0.977 | $176.84 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 389.77 | $0.978 | $381.2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 762 | $0.979 | $746 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.579 | $115.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.48 | $0.005 | $0.33 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.011 | $0.27 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | sell | 196.35 | $0.109 | $21.4 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 196.35 | $0.021 | $4.12 | May 22, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 330.71 | $0.710 | $234.8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 500 | $0.730 | $365 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.925 | $277.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | sell | 983.75 | $0.985 | $969.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.841 | $168.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 154.13 | $0.551 | $84.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 111 | $0.472 | $52.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.808 | $32.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.837 | $83.7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.998 | $598.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.999 | $199.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 37.48 | $0.954 | $35.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.930 | $41.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 490.19 | $0.966 | $473.52 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 21?Yes | buy | 21.3 | $0.100 | $2.13 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.540 | $4.69 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.57 | $0.750 | $45.43 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.968 | $193.51 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 62.36 | $0.999 | $62.3 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | sell | 300 | $0.995 | $298.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Red Wings vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under | buy | 24.01 | $0.542 | $13 | Jan 22, 2026 |