Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 158 | $0.790 | $135.09 | +$10.27 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-18?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.964 |
| $4.82 |
| May 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 32.13 | $0.994 | $31.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.039 | $39 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 7.55K | $0.390 | $2.94K | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 494.89 | $0.450 | $222.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.07K | $0.997 | $4.06K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.08K | $0.996 | $4.06K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.08K | $0.997 | $4.06K | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40.72 | $0.620 | $25.25 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 388 | $0.620 | $240.56 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 170 | $0.810 | $137.7 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.992 | $138.88 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 114.78 | $0.878 | $100.78 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.032 | $0.09 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.460 | $806.85 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 826.76 | $0.459 | $379.48 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.483 | $805.92 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.483 | $805.92 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.510 | $805.93 | Oct 7, 2024 |