Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.89K | $0.008 | $15.15 | Dec 6, 2024 |
|
| buy |
| 3K |
| $0.005 |
| $15 |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | sell | 487.99 | $0.060 | $29.28 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 577.93 | $0.022 | $12.71 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.021 | $21 | Sep 28, 2024 |
 US GDP declines in Q3 2024?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.035 | $35 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.310 | $310 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.013 | $65 | May 20, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.031 | $36.99 | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.040 | $24 | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 393.33 | $0.150 | $59 | Apr 15, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.037 | $11.1 | Apr 15, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 126.42 | $0.190 | $24.02 | Apr 14, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 526.27 | $0.175 | $91.97 | Apr 14, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | sell | 611.11 | $0.018 | $11 | Apr 13, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.070 | $42 | Apr 13, 2024 |
| U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.019 | $20.9 | Apr 13, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.080 | $44 | Apr 13, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Apr 13, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024?No | sell | 5.21 | $0.931 | $4.85 | Apr 12, 2024 |
 Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1?Yes | sell | 20.73 | $0.010 | $0.21 | Jan 22, 2024 |
 Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.860 | $0.86 | Jan 17, 2024 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.008 | $0 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting?Yes | sell | 285 | $0.008 | $2.38 | Jan 17, 2024 |
 Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | sell | 135.16 | $0.250 | $33.79 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.260 | $85.8 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $52 | Jan 17, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by March 20?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.580 | $0.52 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by May 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.200 | $0.2 | Jan 17, 2024 |
| Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its January meeting?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.500 | $0.71 | Jan 16, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.996 | $8.01 | Jan 13, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by May 1?No | sell | 149 | $0.201 | $29.95 | Jan 11, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by March 20?No | sell | 3 | $0.600 | $1.8 | Jan 11, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by March 20?No | sell | 30 | $0.600 | $18 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will US attack Yemen before February?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.920 | $76.36 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?No | sell | 170 | $0.939 | $159.6 | Jan 10, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?No | sell | 100 | $0.940 | $94.01 | Jan 10, 2024 |
| Will US attack Yemen before February?Yes | buy | 94.55 | $0.550 | $52 | Jan 10, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jan 6, 2024 |
 Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?No | sell | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Jan 6, 2024 |
 Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel?No | buy | 40.9 | $0.978 | $40 | Jan 5, 2024 |
 Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates?No | sell | 25 | $0.730 | $18.25 | Jan 4, 2024 |
 Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15?No | sell | 21.42 | $0.900 | $19.28 | Jan 4, 2024 |
| Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15?No | buy | 72.29 | $0.830 | $60 | Jan 4, 2024 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jan 2, 2024 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jan 2, 2024 |
| Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Jan 1, 2024 |