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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 3.73 | $0.580 | $2.16 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 2.48 |
| $0.930 |
| $2.31 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.44 | $0.790 | $1.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 4.64 | $0.290 | $1.35 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 7.93 | $0.110 | $0.87 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 2.57 | $0.440 | $1.13 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | sell | 6.89 | $0.840 | $5.79 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.59 | $0.420 | $2.77 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | sell | 2.88 | $0.720 | $2.07 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | sell | 2.1 | $0.950 | $1.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.02 | $0.470 | $0.95 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | sell | 2.8 | $0.020 | $0.06 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.66 | $0.340 | $0.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | sell | 2 | $0.880 | $1.76 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.93 | $0.480 | $0.93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 2.7 | $0.460 | $1.24 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by March 15?No | sell | 11.08 | $0.950 | $10.53 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by March 15?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.450 | $4.99 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 GPT-5.4 released by March 31?No | buy | 154.23 | $0.026 | $4.01 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.220 | $1.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 17.36 | $0.680 | $11.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 17.37 | $0.300 | $5.21 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 2.23 | $0.555 | $1.24 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.104 | $1.73 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 14 | $0.160 | $2.24 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in March?No | buy | 98.18 | $0.011 | $1.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.003 | $0.09 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 166.76 | $0.008 | $1.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.447 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in February?No | sell | 115.58 | $0.003 | $0.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in February?No | buy | 56.76 | $0.018 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in February?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | Feb 28, 2026 |