Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 11 | $0.170 | $2.92 | +$1.05 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.120 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 14 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.45 |
| +$0.49 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 6 | $0.330 | $1.74 | -$0.24 |
 Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | No | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | $0 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 13 | $0.150 | $1.63 | -$0.33 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 5 | $0.350 | $1.45 | -$0.3 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8 | $0.230 | $1.32 | -$0.52 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30? | Yes | 11.33 | $0.150 | $0.85 | -$0.85 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.6 |
| 1d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.050 | $0.6 | 3d ago |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.040 | $0.48 | 3d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.060 | $0.48 | 7d ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | sell | 7 | $0.080 | $0.56 | 7d ago |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 13 | $0.050 | $0.65 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.110 | $0.66 | 9d ago |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.130 | $0.65 | 9d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 13 | $0.150 | $1.95 | 9d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 9d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 6 | $0.330 | $1.98 | 10d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 7 | $0.270 | $1.89 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.310 | $1.86 | 11d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 11d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | 11d ago |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Yes | buy | 11.33 | $0.150 | $1.7 | 11d ago |
| Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.040 | $0.44 | 12d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.170 | $1.87 | 12d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?No | buy | 14 | $0.140 | $1.96 | 12d ago |
| Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 13 | $0.150 | $1.95 | 13d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.214 | $1.07 | 13d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | 13d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | 13d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.160 | $1.92 | 13d ago |
 Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.023 | $0.06 | 14d ago |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.025 | $0.15 | 14d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 3.69 | $0.016 | $0.06 | 14d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.082 | $0.41 | 14d ago |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?No | sell | 14 | $0.024 | $0.34 | 14d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | 14d ago |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?Yes | sell | 6.3 | $0.026 | $0.16 | 14d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.017 | $0.02 | 14d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.060 | $0.06 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?No | buy | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |