Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 99.99 | $0.400 | $80.49 | +$40.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| $0.230 |
| $5.6 |
| -$3.6 |
| sell |
| 6.1 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.67 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.160 | $4.64 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | sell | 29.99 | $0.999 | $29.96 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Yes | buy | 21.58 | $0.011 | $0.24 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.012 | $0.01 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.190 | $1.3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,500 on October 2?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.004 | $0.24 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on October 1?Yes | sell | 54.21 | $0.017 | $0.92 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on October 1?Yes | buy | 54.21 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 1?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.016 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on September 29?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 29?Down | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 26?Up | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,025 on September 25 at 12PM ET?Yes | sell | 14.23 | $0.990 | $14.09 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,025 on September 25 at 12PM ET?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.169 | $2.41 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.460 | $2.33 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,125 on September 24 at 4PM ET?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 4PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 21?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,625 on September 18 at 12PM ET?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,625 on September 17 at 4PM ET?Yes | buy | 52.94 | $0.170 | $9 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 17 at 4PM ET?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.130 | $8 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 589 | $0.030 | $17.67 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 11AM ETUp | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 15?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,325 on September 10 at 4PM ET?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,325 on September 10 at 4PM ET?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8AM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 9 at 12PM ET?No | sell | 15.38 | $0.740 | $11.38 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 9 at 12PM ET?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,275 on September 8 at 4PM ET?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 6 at 8PM ET?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on September 6 at 4PM ET?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 12.71 | $0.140 | $1.78 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 12.71 | $0.140 | $1.78 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on September 5?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,375 on September 5 at 12AM ET?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Sep 4, 2025 |