Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 12K | $0.900 | $11.57K | +$768.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 927.41 | $0.395 | $366.33 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 11.72K |
| $0.780 |
| $9.14K |
| -$1.51 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.770 | $8.55K | +$850 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.03K | $0.792 | $6.65K | +$1.08K |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.1K | $0.400 | $6.32K | +$2.28K |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.06K | $0.900 | $950.8 | -$5.31 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 4.68K | $0.800 | $865.56 | -$2.88K |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 3K | $0.370 | $855 | -$255 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4K | $0.110 | $452 | +$12 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 23 | $0.400 | $21.05 | +$11.85 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $8.5 |
| 7d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 257.47 | $0.900 | $231.72 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.52K | $0.290 | $1.89K | 9d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.740 | $749.27 | 12d ago |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No | buy | 81.7 | $0.577 | $47.14 | 23d ago |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | buy | 956.9 | $0.100 | $95.69 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 3.74K | $0.770 | $2.88K | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.660 | $1.06K | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.850 | $1.34K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.24K | $0.900 | $10.12K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 905.92 | $0.880 | $797.21 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.990 | $30.69 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.67K | $0.800 | $5.34K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.470 | $235 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.480 | $240 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.900 | $1.91K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 181.59 | $0.870 | $157.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 221.82 | $0.810 | $179.67 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.780 | $1.56K | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 443.25 | $0.770 | $341.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.880 | $0.39 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.880 | $1.08K | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.400 | $600 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.29 | $0.470 | $11.89 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.972 | $1.06K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 82.41 | $0.720 | $59.34 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.17K | $0.870 | $3.63K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.400 | $2K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.300 | $352.5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No | buy | 2K | $0.390 | $780 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.28 | $0.480 | $319.81 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 659.52 | $0.770 | $507.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.895 | $3.58K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.902 | $100.12 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.026 | $67.07 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.33K | $0.079 | $499.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.2K | $0.161 | $998.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.084 | $1.01K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 164.73 | $0.934 | $153.79 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?No | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.690 | $1.25K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.37 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.410 | $1.07K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.390 | $1.01K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 200 | $0.958 | $191.6 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.871 | $1.09K | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.878 | $1.1K | May 19, 2026 |