Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.996 | $9 | May 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.01 |
| $0.998 |
| $6 |
| May 1, 2025 |
 Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" every day this week?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Sam Hyde makes a sports bet by Friday?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Dogecoin above $0.17 on April 11?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.995 | $3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.977 | $6 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by next Friday?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.999 | $14 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Kanye tweet 100-199 times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Trump negative approval by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 2025 February hottest on record?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 38.43 | $0.630 | $24.21 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.996 | $1.2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht go on Joe Rogan before March?No | buy | 17.38 | $0.994 | $17.28 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in February?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Dave Portnoy in jail before March?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.964 | $4.84 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.998 | $2.23 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Grizzlies vs. PacersGrizzlies | buy | 28.75 | $0.560 | $16.1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | sell | 1 | $0.993 | $0.99 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.983 | $2.98 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.995 | $10.28 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.9% on February 14?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.992 | $2.95 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will POTUS tweet 20-22 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Patrick (Player 930) win the Beast Games?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will less than 100 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will POTUS tweet 5-7 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 8.68 | $0.999 | $8.67 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Patrick (Player 930) win the Beast Games?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $6m?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Mike Macdonald get fired?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.998 | $4.22 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar perform "United In Grief"?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.998 | $2.39 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Lebron James be traded?No | sell | 3 | $0.986 | $2.96 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by next Friday?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Lebron James be traded?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $25m?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 1, 2025 |