Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.08 |
| $0.650 |
| $2 |
| Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?Yes | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?No | sell | 49.06 | $0.010 | $0.49 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | sell | 4.61 | $0.620 | $2.86 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.880 | $5.24 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.690 | $4.48 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US kicks trans members out of military before August?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.359 | $2.42 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Olandria win Season 7 of Love Island USA?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.100 | $1.15 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?No | buy | 49.07 | $0.150 | $7.36 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will Olandria win Season 7 of Love Island USA?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| US kicks trans members out of military before August?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.290 | $4.03 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | sell | 5.59 | $0.660 | $3.69 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 13.69 | $0.967 | $13.24 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 5.59 | $0.710 | $3.97 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?Yes | buy | 47.56 | $0.063 | $3 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | buy | 272.8 | $0.015 | $4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jun 25, 2025 |