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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? | No | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?Down | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 15.15 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.14 |
| -$3.86 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
| buy |
| 13.76 |
| $0.145 |
| $2 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?Down | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 4?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 4?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.143 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by June 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.790 | $5.93 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 85 and 90?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?No | buy | 150 | $0.020 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 450.0k by June 30?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | sell | 2.89 | $0.920 | $2.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.380 | $7.31 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?No | sell | 29.99 | $0.201 | $6.04 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.330 | $1.22 | May 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETUp | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.064 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |