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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14.74 | +$0.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
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| No |
| 11.58 |
| $0.950 |
| $11.3 |
| +$0.3 |
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? | No | 9.18 | $0.980 | $8.02 | -$0.98 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026? | No | 7.04 | $0.994 | $6.34 | -$0.66 |
| buy |
| 11.58 |
| $0.950 |
| $11 |
| May 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.921 | $8 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.967 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.930 | $7 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.942 | $9 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | sell | 13.17 | $0.996 | $13.12 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 13.17 | $0.987 | $13 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 PlayoffsTYLOO | buy | 8.64 | $0.810 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects | buy | 17.08 | $0.995 | $17 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of April 27 2026?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.980 | $15 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of April 27 2026?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.970 | $12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of April 27 2026?No | buy | 8.23 | $0.972 | $8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $336,000 and $339,000 on April 1?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $321,000 and $324,000 on April 1?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.980 | $9 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Services Down ParlayNo | buy | 7.14 | $0.980 | $7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.992 | $16 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.987 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 53.27 | $0.976 | $51.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.993 | $59.82 | Mar 31, 2026 |
AWS service disrupted by March 31?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 53.28 | $0.976 | $52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo HumbertRublev | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack DraperDraper | buy | 5.26 | $0.760 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Aurora | buy | 4.82 | $0.830 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo HumbertRublev | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?No | sell | 13.75 | $0.976 | $13.41 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.996 | $60 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| buy | 21.65 | $0.970 | $21 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.994 | $28 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?No | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Red Wings | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?No | buy | 19.46 | $0.998 | $19.42 | Oct 30, 2025 |
HasanAbi banned from Twitch by October 31?No | buy | 60.42 | $0.993 | $60 | Oct 30, 2025 |
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 40.49 | $0.988 | $40 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Lee Jun-seok arrested by September 30?No | buy | 24.05 | $0.998 | $24 | Sep 20, 2025 |
US bank failure by September 30?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80 and 84?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?No | buy | 19.21 | $0.989 | $19 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.985 | $13 | Sep 20, 2025 |