Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.975 | $2.23 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 52 |
| $0.200 |
| $10.4 |
| Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.999 | $3.59 | May 11, 2025 |
 Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?Coalition | buy | 237.51 | $0.017 | $4 | May 11, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No | buy | 4.28 | $0.935 | $4 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Gen Z Quant rug another coin by Friday?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Trump positive favorability on Day 100?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 28 - April 4?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 2025 March hottest on record?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.001 | $2.11 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.994 | $3 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with either Tate brother by next Sunday?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 4.16K | $0.002 | $8.31 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Epstein files released this week?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Friday?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will "Gladiator II" win Best Costume Design at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will "The Last Ranger" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | Mar 1, 2025 |
 Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 52.12 | $0.410 | $21.37 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.999 | $2.23 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Ye banned on X in February?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.988 | $1.22 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Ye banned on X in February?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.968 | $1.2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Suns vs. SpursSuns | buy | 32.68 | $0.570 | $18.63 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 3.11 | $0.983 | $3.06 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.980 | $3.22 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.994 | $3.28 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Dune: Part Two"?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Emilia Pérez"?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.996 | $3.5 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Was Milei hacked?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.999 | $3.33 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.996 | $3.14 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will POTUS tweet 23-25 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.997 | $4.8 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.999 | $3.5 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.990 | $3.3 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.996 | $4 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Shane Steichen get fired?No | buy | 2.76 | $0.998 | $2.75 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Carson Steele score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.986 | $2.5 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hillpower" first?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Will Joy Taylor leave Fox Sports by the Super Bowl?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.991 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2025 |