Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 16.92 | $0.768 | $15.82 | +$2.82 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?No | buy | 8.69 | $0.575 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 13.08 |
| $0.535 |
| $6.08 |
| -$0.92 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 4.27 | $0.703 | $4.18 | +$1.18 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.91 | -$3.09 |
| sell |
| 2.36 |
| $0.940 |
| $2.22 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 3.95 | $0.810 | $3.2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?Up | sell | 5.26 | $0.952 | $5.01 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.930 | $5.05 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.946 | $5.02 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.982 | $5.18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 11.61 | $0.670 | $7.78 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | sell | 10.58 | $0.740 | $7.83 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 13.24 | $0.710 | $9.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.710 | $9.59 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.955 | $4.42 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 2.47 | $0.660 | $1.63 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.250 | $0.49 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Elon Bull Run ComboYes | sell | 28.37 | $0.150 | $4.26 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.450 | $1.78 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?Up | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Elon Bull Run ComboYes | buy | 28.38 | $0.176 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AprilNothing | buy | 10.59 | $0.472 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.840 | $4.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.946 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.720 | $1.04 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 18.27 | $0.490 | $8.95 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 10.2 | $0.998 | $10.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.98 | $0.370 | $4.43 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 9.53 | $0.120 | $1.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 7.47 | $0.742 | $5.54 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.600 | $5.77 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.680 | $2.51 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |