Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 633.03 |
| $0.994 |
| $629.23 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 13-19?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.979 | $4.9 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.870 | $12.18 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 49.16 | $0.957 | $47.05 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.75K | $0.461 | $2.65K | Oct 8, 2024 |