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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 211.12 | $0.781 | $180.51 | +$15.51 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puerto Rico vs. ChinaPuerto Rico | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 23m ago |
 |
| No |
| 45.45 |
| $0.880 |
| $40.68 |
| +$0.68 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 27.29 | $0.916 | $24.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 17.51 | $0.856 | $16.84 | +$1.84 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 16.83 | $0.880 | $16.18 | +$1.37 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 16.58 | $0.784 | $15.5 | +$2.5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.74 | $0.777 | $12.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.14 | $0.538 | $8.33 | -$4.67 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 9.09 | $0.880 | $8.32 | +$0.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5.17 | +$0.17 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.761 | $2.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 2.13 | $0.937 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.8 | +$0.8 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | Yes | 3.41 | $0.880 | $1.67 | -$1.33 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Puerto Rico vs. China | Puerto Rico | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.920 |
| $20 |
| 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.420 | $1.44 | 3d ago |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 10.73 | $0.390 | $4.18 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.951 | $5 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | 22d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.700 | $2.55 | 28d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.840 | $9.43 | 28d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 51.23 | $0.976 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 36.58 | $0.968 | $35.41 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.540 | $1.29 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.660 | $3.62 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 10.43 | $0.920 | $9.59 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Paddy Pimblett | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)Mario Bautista | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Norway vs. England: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)Wang Cong | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |