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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 98.78 | $0.820 | $94.34 | +$13.34 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.973 | $2.31 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 98.82 |
| $0.850 |
| $94.23 |
| +$10.23 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 26.91 | $0.899 | $26.44 | +$2.23 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.47 | $0.920 | $24.9 | +$1.46 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 19.76 | $0.830 | $19 | +$2.6 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 15.88 | $0.924 | $15.43 | +$0.76 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 103.1 | $0.434 | $13.92 | -$30.83 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 2.53 | $0.870 | $2.39 | +$0.19 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.03 | $0.545 | $1.72 | +$0.62 |
 2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 1.31 | $0.996 | $1.3 | +$0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | -$0 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.21 | +$0.11 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1.31 | $0.880 | $1.16 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.12 | +$0.02 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 2.24 | $0.490 | $1.11 | +$0.01 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.09 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.927 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.927 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.927 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.927 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.927 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.927 | $3.51 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.61 | $0.927 | $4.27 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.930 | $1.28 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.993 | $2.79 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.972 | $5.37 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.972 | $4.42 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 3.72 | $0.800 | $2.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.983 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.973 | $5.6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.973 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.973 | $3.07 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.972 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.810 | $0.15 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.800 | $0.18 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 31.75 | $0.890 | $28.26 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 25.92 | $0.975 | $25.27 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.810 | $0.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.810 | $2.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 6.37 | $0.800 | $5.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.810 | $0.79 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.9 | $0.810 | $0.73 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 6-12?No | buy | 9.24 | $0.989 | $9.14 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.970 | $5.79 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.983 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.996 | $1.19 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.810 | $0.01 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.810 | $0.12 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.810 | $0.57 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 Week of April 6 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.987 | $14.45 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?No | buy | 9.96 | $0.950 | $9.46 | Apr 9, 2026 |