Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 37.04 | $0.540 | $17.59 | -$2.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 7.61 | $0.350 | $2.66 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.14 |
| $0.700 |
| $5.4 |
| +$0.4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 5.22 | $0.670 | $4.47 | +$0.97 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 4.34 | $0.700 | $3.95 | +$0.91 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 2.07 | $0.430 | $1.39 | +$0.5 |
| sell |
| 12.2 |
| $0.910 |
| $11.1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | sell | 4.43 | $0.470 | $2.08 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.770 | $5.5 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.960 | $1.56 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?No | sell | 4.79 | $0.400 | $1.92 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 58.33 | $0.040 | $2.33 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | sell | 5.54 | $0.905 | $5.01 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.280 | $2.51 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 7.01 | $0.527 | $3.69 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.058 | $2.65 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.046 | $1.53 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.940 | $3.57 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | sell | 3.29 | $0.880 | $2.9 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.719 | $1.14 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | sell | 2 | $0.630 | $1.26 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.714 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.910 | $4.94 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 5.54 | $0.812 | $4.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.910 | $4.76 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.730 | $3.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.865 | $3.75 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.700 | $3.04 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Lions vs. BearsLions | sell | 8.75 | $0.770 | $6.74 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.690 | $4.26 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.947 | $1.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.760 | $2.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.430 | $3.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.670 | $3.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | sell | 9.77 | $0.290 | $2.83 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 4.43 | $0.790 | $3.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.106 | $3.52 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.940 | $5.28 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.975 | $3.56 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.975 | $2.61 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Lions vs. BearsLions | buy | 8.75 | $0.400 | $3.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.934 | $2.5 | Dec 31, 2025 |