Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.910 | $41.86 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 46 |
| $0.910 |
| $41.86 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.320 | $37.44 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.800 | $27.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.800 | $38.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.810 | $42.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.070 | $1.33 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.38 | $0.330 | $6.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96 | $0.330 | $31.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.480 | $47.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.480 | $47.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.590 | $47.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.590 | $47.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 68 | $0.700 | $47.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.061 | $2.81 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.944 | $38.7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.955 | $29.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.956 | $29.64 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.040 | $0.48 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.983 | $42.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.983 | $42.27 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 55.38 | $0.590 | $32.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.670 | $35.51 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 15 | $0.810 | $12.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.814 | $34.19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.968 | $41.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.923 | $39.69 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 37 | $0.954 | $35.3 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 2 | $0.951 | $1.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.300 | $24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 41 | $0.958 | $39.28 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.958 | $41.19 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.984 | $37.39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.963 | $1.93 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.961 | $1.92 | May 31, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.970 | $31.04 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.969 | $37.79 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.931 | $16.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 54 | $0.766 | $41.36 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 54 | $0.763 | $41.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.155 | $13.02 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.938 | $9.38 | May 28, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 46 | $0.895 | $41.17 | May 28, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.921 | $42.37 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.015 | $0.51 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.015 | $1.14 | May 27, 2026 |