Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 486.51 | $0.035 | $17 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 111.11 |
| $0.150 |
| $16.67 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 118.37 | $0.034 | $4 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?Yes | buy | 239.69 | $0.042 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No | buy | 134.11 | $0.149 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 82.32 | $0.069 | $5.7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 57.55 | $0.087 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown | buy | 26.47 | $0.130 | $3.44 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?No | buy | 332.83 | $0.030 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Yes | buy | 311.25 | $0.029 | $9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 32.88 | $0.152 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 37 | $0.079 | $2.91 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 54.58 | $0.839 | $45.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.169 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 78.13 | $0.320 | $25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETDown | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.015 | $1.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | sell | 1.76K | $0.013 | $22.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.073 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 1.62K | $0.037 | $60 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 187.5 | $0.016 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 571.43 | $0.014 | $8 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETUp | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 226.09 | $0.022 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.005 | $8 | Feb 18, 2026 |