Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 372.56 | $0.643 | $247.75 | +$8.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.79 | $0.640 | $11.39 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 297.89 |
| $0.342 |
| $233.84 |
| +$131.87 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 209.73 | $0.846 | $185.61 | +$8.24 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 195.36 | $0.790 | $180.61 | +$26.31 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 202 | $0.752 | $174.73 | +$22.78 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 239.76 | $0.407 | $149.85 | +$52.2 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 151.54 | $0.780 | $123.5 | +$5.3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 113.35 | $0.790 | $103.72 | +$14.17 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 101.2 | $0.590 | $67.3 | +$7.59 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 77.82 | $0.760 | $65.75 | +$6.61 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 71.35 | $0.860 | $64.57 | +$3.21 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 71.8 | $0.890 | $64.26 | +$0.32 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 73.71 | $0.810 | $60.81 | +$1.11 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 75.85 | $0.680 | $43.61 | -$7.96 |
 Will Yiwarr McGrath win the next Mulka by-election? | Yes | 44.1 | $0.900 | $43.26 | +$3.57 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 56.91 | $0.590 | $42.68 | +$9.11 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 86.25 | $0.360 | $40.54 | +$9.49 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 47.57 | $0.490 | $37.1 | +$13.8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 71.11 | $0.550 | $36.62 | -$2.49 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 80.21 | $0.381 | $36.09 | +$5.57 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 99.22 | $0.397 | $34.23 | -$5.12 |
 Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? | Yes | 87.5 | $0.265 | $29.84 | +$6.64 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 32.26 | $0.827 | $28.87 | +$2.18 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 27.84 | $0.547 | $25.76 | +$10.53 |
 Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | Yes | 30.73 | $0.770 | $23.66 | $0 |
| sell |
| 4.82 |
| $0.380 |
| $1.83 |
| 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 256.57 | $0.380 | $97.5 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 101.3 | $0.390 | $39.51 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 70.63 | $0.590 | $41.66 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 202.37 | $0.590 | $119.4 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 164.53 | $0.342 | $56.19 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 65.23 | $0.330 | $21.53 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 9.96 | $0.330 | $3.29 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 70.24 | $0.340 | $23.88 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 30.89 | $0.234 | $7.22 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 7.32 | $0.220 | $1.61 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 48.51 | $0.640 | $31.05 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.87 | $0.190 | $0.17 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.380 | $0.45 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.380 | $0.13 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.380 | $0 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 50.16 | $0.380 | $19.06 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.380 | $0.05 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.380 | $0 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.380 | $0.08 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.480 | $3.39 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.5 | $0.380 | $0.57 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.480 | $0.27 | 9h ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.42 | $0.280 | $0.12 | 9h ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 18.97 | $0.730 | $13.85 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.43 | $0.640 | $4.12 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.640 | $0.1 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.29 | $0.640 | $18.11 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.14 | $0.070 | $11.14 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.917 | $0.03 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.917 | $0.21 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.917 | $0.06 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.917 | $0.04 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.917 | $0.09 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.917 | $0.06 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.917 | $0.14 | 10h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.01 | $0.917 | $13.76 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.400 | $8.66 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.430 | $0.71 | 11h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.8 | $0.917 | $14.49 | 12h ago |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 86.25 | $0.360 | $31.05 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 73.7 | $0.820 | $60.43 | 12h ago |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.54 | $0.918 | $18.86 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 258.81 | $0.461 | $119.4 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.430 | $0.82 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 15.68 | $0.430 | $6.74 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.430 | $0.05 | 12h ago |