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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA VI released by October 31? | No | 594.45 | $0.904 | $586.13 | +$48.56 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Celje qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 73.26 | $0.969 | $70.99 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 342.84 |
| $0.908 |
| $317.64 |
| +$6.28 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? | No | 304.99 | $0.933 | $289.28 | +$4.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 297.53 | $0.926 | $288.45 | +$12.85 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 234.94 | $0.964 | $232.47 | +$5.98 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | No | 227.84 | $0.924 | $225.11 | +$14.55 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 226.25 | $0.839 | $213.81 | +$23.92 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 175 | $0.920 | $172.29 | +$11.29 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 174.05 | $0.826 | $168.39 | +$24.57 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 170 | $0.918 | $158.95 | +$2.95 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.860 | $140.25 | +$11.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 145 | $0.767 | $135.58 | +$24.33 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 80.49 | $0.909 | $77.23 | +$4.07 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 50 | $0.835 | $47.9 | +$6.15 |
 Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? | No | 66.2 | $0.854 | $43.2 | -$13.37 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 13.52 | $0.967 | $13.24 | +$0.17 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.304 | $7.7 | -$2.95 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85 | $0.234 | $7.23 | -$12.62 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 100.04 | $0.057 | $5.75 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 84.34 |
| $0.960 |
| $80.97 |
| 15d ago |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | 15d ago |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 180 | $0.995 | $179.05 | 15d ago |
| Will Bodo/Glimt qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.997 | $299.06 | 16d ago |
| Will Hapoel Beer Sheva qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 226.67 | $0.995 | $225.64 | 16d ago |
 Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | sell | 122.98 | $0.999 | $122.86 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | sell | 189.37 | $0.999 | $189.18 | 18d ago |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.994 | $19.88 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.72 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | 18d ago |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 25 | $0.980 | $24.5 | 18d ago |
| Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.993 | $11.87 | 18d ago |
| Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 51.53 | $0.991 | $51.07 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | 18d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 120 | $0.970 | $116.4 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 9 | $0.984 | $8.86 | 18d ago |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.813 | $8.93 | 18d ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 19d ago |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.838 | $24.3 | 19d ago |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | 19d ago |
| Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No | buy | 107.9 | $0.927 | $100 | 20d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.983 | $24.58 | 24d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | sell | 40 | $0.982 | $39.28 | 25d ago |
 Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.985 | $9.85 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.984 | $24.6 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | 25d ago |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.984 | $49.2 | 25d ago |
 Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?Yes | buy | 502.78 | $0.994 | $500 | 25d ago |
 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.760 | $30.4 | 29d ago |
| Will Sparta Prague qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Sparta Prague qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.980 | $7.26 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Sparta Prague qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 32.39 | $0.976 | $31.63 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Ararat-Armenia qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 16.33 | $0.970 | $15.84 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Ararat-Armenia qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 98.91 | $0.920 | $91 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Red Star Belgrade qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 30 | $0.990 | $29.7 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Red Star Belgrade qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Red Star Belgrade qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.989 | $5.96 | Aug 11, 2026 |