Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 499.99 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| Oct 30, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+Yes | buy | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.017 | $0.85 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.002 | $0.8 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Crypto/Bitcoin" during his Georgia speech?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.001 | $0.38 | Sep 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Georgia speech?No | buy | 272.23 | $0.001 | $0.27 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during her Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 10.8 | $0.050 | $0.54 | Sep 18, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.016 | $20 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.018 | $18 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Sep 16, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.018 | $20.95 | Sep 16, 2024 |