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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 83.96 | $0.238 | $5.04 | -$14.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.26 |
| $0.380 |
| $2.96 |
| +$0.96 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10.53 | $0.380 | $1.11 | -$2.89 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.100 |
| $1 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.050 | $0.36 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.006 | $0.09 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.090 | $0.64 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 125.39 | $0.015 | $1.83 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | sell | 23.47 | $0.007 | $0.16 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.040 | $0.29 | May 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.060 | $0.32 | May 17, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 10.31 | $0.050 | $0.52 | May 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.005 | $0.09 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.210 | $0.87 | May 12, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.380 | $4 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.019 | $0.27 | May 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.050 | $0.38 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.29 | $0.200 | $1.66 | May 6, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.999 | $12.49 | May 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETUp | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 13.18 | $0.080 | $1.05 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 59.71 | $0.017 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 23.47 | $0.043 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.090 | $0.64 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.050 | $0.31 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.013 | $0.12 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.180 | $1.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |