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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 295 | $0.983 | $291.31 | +$1.33 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 40.75 | $0.240 | $9.78 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 262.36 |
| $0.781 |
| $224.32 |
| +$19.32 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.935 | $189 | +$2 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.736 | $169.39 | +$22.2 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 125 | $0.790 | $108.13 | +$9.38 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 200 | $0.365 | $107 | +$34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.820 | $82.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $77 | -$4 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | Yes | 100 | $0.540 | $67.5 | +$13.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 136.21 | $0.576 | $67.42 | -$11.08 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 70 | $0.710 | $50.05 | +$0.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.900 | $47.98 | +$2.98 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $47.75 | +$3.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.780 | $46.75 | +$7.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.650 | $46.25 | +$13.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.830 | $43 | +$1.5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | $0 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 45.45 | $0.710 | $30.45 | -$1.82 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.660 | $28.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.249 | $24.05 | -$0.85 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | No | 100 | $0.240 | $21.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.086 | $9.8 | +$1.2 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 50 | $0.290 | $7.65 | -$6.85 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.100 |
| $10 |
| 3d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 295 | $0.983 | $289.99 | 3d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | 4d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 4d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.086 | $8.6 | 4d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.249 | $24.9 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | buy | 70 | $0.710 | $49.7 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.790 | $98.75 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 19d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 19d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 118.62 | $0.840 | $99.64 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | sell | 40.4 | $0.999 | $40.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.980 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No | buy | 39.84 | $0.502 | $20 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?Yes | buy | 173.82 | $0.940 | $163.39 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.363 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.18 | $0.794 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | sell | 49.85 | $0.999 | $49.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 49.86 | $0.983 | $49 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.970 | $46.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.996 | $46.81 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 35.49 | $0.984 | $34.92 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.965 | $193 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.736 | $11.03 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.965 | $193 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.918 | $9.18 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?No | buy | 77.25 | $0.977 | $75.47 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 29.58 | $0.898 | $26.56 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.695 | $17.38 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.986 | $39.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.710 | $32.27 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jul 6, 2026 |