Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 2.89 | $0.950 | $2.74 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.950 | $2.75 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 5.44 |
| $0.946 |
| $5.15 |
| 1d ago |
| Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.990 | $5.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.16 | $0.994 | $5.13 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.988 | $1.62 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | sell | 3.95 | $0.988 | $3.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.976 | $3.86 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 5.66 | $0.992 | $5.61 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 5.6 | $0.978 | $5.48 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.936 | $5.13 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.995 | $5.11 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.940 | $4.8 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 17?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.990 | $4.75 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | sell | 4.78 | $0.994 | $4.75 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 4.79 | $0.992 | $4.75 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.75 | $0.973 | $4.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.920 | $4.62 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.930 | $4.67 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.996 | $4.65 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.995 | $1.32 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid exploit before February?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.971 | $1.66 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Drake Maye break the QB rushing record?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.999 | $6.95 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.995 | $1.27 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.996 | $3.18 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.994 | $3.05 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.996 | $2.58 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 3.36 | $0.999 | $3.36 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 18.45K | $0.001 | $18.45 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Yes | buy | 18.45K | $0.001 | $18.45 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.998 | $1.48 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.972 | $2.02 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 3.03K | $0.997 | $3.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.998 | $3.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | sell | 3.04K | $0.997 | $3.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.998 | $3.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 0.8 | $0.998 | $0.8 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.960 | $1.42 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% before election?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.979 | $0.51 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.977 | $1.11 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?No | buy | 0.98 | $0.920 | $0.9 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.999 | $1.84 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 October 11-18?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.989 | $1.35 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 September temperature increase by more than 1.40°C?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.979 | $1.95 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.999 | $2.67 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 13.16K | $0.002 | $26.32 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 943.21 | $0.998 | $941.32 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 943.21 | $0.999 | $942.27 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?No | sell | 945.1 | $0.997 | $942.26 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?No | buy | 945.1 | $0.998 | $943.21 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 945.1 | $0.998 | $943.21 | Oct 2, 2024 |