Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | No | 139.99 | $0.640 | $66.5 | -$23.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.180 | $11.52 | 25d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.790 |
| $38.75 |
| -$0.75 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 40.32 | $0.919 | $38.53 | +$1.45 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $14.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.730 | $13.9 | -$0.7 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $10.5 | +$2.5 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 64 | $0.180 | $9.92 | -$1.6 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.054 |
| $0.27 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.249 | $12.45 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.735 | $3.68 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.931 | $4.66 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.802 | $4.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.016 | $0.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.140 | $0.7 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 WinnerOG | buy | 23.87 | $0.419 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 14.29 | $0.680 | $9.72 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 10.08 | $0.941 | $9.49 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 19.6 | $0.941 | $18.44 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 26.23 | $0.998 | $26.18 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 10 | $0.927 | $9.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 20 | $0.813 | $16.25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.919 | $45.95 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | sell | 66.9 | $0.570 | $38.13 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | buy | 13.86 | $0.070 | $0.97 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Yes | sell | 61.16 | $0.999 | $61.1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerFURIA | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | buy | 3.05 | $0.328 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons | sell | 126 | $0.999 | $125.87 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 4.08 | $0.980 | $4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsAurora Gaming | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |