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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 4.09 | $0.950 | $3.79 | -$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.950 | $3.89 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.6 |
| $0.997 |
| $4.59 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.990 | $3.03 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.946 | $3.23 | May 21, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 2.45 | $0.957 | $2.34 | May 21, 2026 |
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.950 | $2.33 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 4.6 | $0.979 | $4.5 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.982 | $4.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.970 | $4.38 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on March 18?No | buy | 4.38 | $0.990 | $4.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.995 | $4.34 | Mar 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.984 | $4.3 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.995 | $4.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Clavicular in jail by January 31?No | sell | 4.29 | $0.997 | $4.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Clavicular in jail by January 31?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.988 | $4.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.998 | $4.23 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.990 | $4.19 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 4?No | buy | 4.19 | $0.987 | $4.14 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?Yes | buy | 4.13 | $0.997 | $4.12 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No | sell | 4.42 | $0.933 | $4.12 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.979 | $4.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.39 | $0.986 | $4.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.976 | $4.29 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 30?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.999 | $4.29 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 4.77 | $0.900 | $4.29 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 4.77 | $0.930 | $4.44 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.989 | $3.01 | Jan 5, 2025 |
2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.996 | $3.31 | Jan 5, 2025 |
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.978 | $4.06 | Dec 19, 2024 |
2024 November hottest on record?No | buy | 0.55 | $0.993 | $0.55 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.993 | $1.83 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.985 | $1.49 | Nov 22, 2024 |
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 2.66 | $0.987 | $2.63 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 0.69 | $0.986 | $0.68 | Nov 22, 2024 |
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 0.71 | $0.988 | $0.7 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.990 | $1.36 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | sell | 19.81K | $0.001 | $19.81 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 20.22K | $0.001 | $20.22 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.984 | $2.24 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Base airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.958 | $1.56 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Nov 6, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 2.52 | $0.989 | $2.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.998 | $2.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.99K | $0.001 | $3.99 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 19.52K | $0.001 | $19.52 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.83K | $0.001 | $7.83 | Nov 6, 2024 |