Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 38.78 | $0.400 | $15.51 | Nov 6, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 387.83 |
| $0.040 |
| $15.51 |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 306.44 | $0.072 | $22.02 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.998 | $8.49 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin close above $110K on July 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% before August?Yes | buy | 61.76 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.470 | $4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?No | buy | 43.91 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's LegendCTBC | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by July 15?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa before August?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Congressman joins the America Party before August?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Israel before August?Yes | buy | 42.5 | $0.024 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.49 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by July 15?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Xi Jinping seen in public before August?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 30.67 | $0.610 | $18.71 | Jul 7, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 31.63 | $0.174 | $5.51 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.126 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill on July 4?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Joey Chestnut win Nathan's Famous Hot Dog 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Vietnam in July?No | buy | 47.28 | $0.021 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation before October?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Joey Chestnut win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Jul 3, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 40.67 | $0.580 | $23.59 | Jul 1, 2025 |