Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 32.52 | $0.123 | $6 | +$2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.489 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 14.49 |
| $0.138 |
| $1.31 |
| -$0.69 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.6 | $0.384 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 5.39 | $0.464 | $0.82 | -$1.68 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6.52 | $0.230 | $0.49 | -$1.01 |
| buy |
| 3.34 |
| $0.449 |
| $1.5 |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.384 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.090 | $0.37 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | sell | 4.41 | $0.830 | $3.66 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.400 | $1.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | sell | 3.29 | $0.310 | $1.02 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 3.24 | $0.599 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.138 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.340 | $1.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during Monday press conference?Yes | sell | 90.23 | $0.006 | $0.54 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during Monday press conference?Yes | buy | 90.23 | $0.005 | $0.47 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Monday press conference?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.420 | $1.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.998 | $3.93 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.72 | $0.530 | $2.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.380 | $1.5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | sell | 1.79 | $0.241 | $0.43 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.77 | $0.549 | $0.97 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | sell | 1.89 | $0.250 | $0.47 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.87 | $0.519 | $0.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | sell | 2.14 | $0.070 | $0.15 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.82 | $0.260 | $0.47 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 5.36 | $0.126 | $0.68 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 1.64 | $0.270 | $0.44 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.62 | $0.600 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | sell | 1.75 | $0.360 | $0.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETDown | buy | 1.73 | $0.560 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.373 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.15 | $0.450 | $0.97 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 4.05 | $0.900 | $3.65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.494 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 4.17 | $0.321 | $1.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.479 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |