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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.57 | $0.037 | $0.58 | Mar 31, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 21.61 |
| $0.062 |
| $1.34 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 7.04 | $0.390 | $2.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.254 | $3.97 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.580 | $3.86 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 18.03 | $0.150 | $2.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.860 | $4.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.710 | $4.73 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?No | sell | 11.28 | $0.420 | $4.74 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.978 | $4.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 6.84 | $0.670 | $4.58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | sell | 5.95 | $0.992 | $5.9 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes | sell | 87.11 | $0.070 | $6.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 20.88 | $0.301 | $6.28 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?No | sell | 9.25 | $0.750 | $6.94 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.870 | $8.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | sell | 18.01 | $0.483 | $8.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 14.3 | $0.580 | $8.29 | Mar 30, 2026 |
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?No | sell | 12.74 | $0.800 | $10.19 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.890 | $10.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 54.5 | $0.210 | $11.43 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes | sell | 5.94 | $0.992 | $5.89 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 19.89 | $0.600 | $11.93 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No | sell | 12.55 | $0.998 | $12.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 38.26 | $0.340 | $13.01 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.37 | $0.940 | $12.57 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 45.05 | $0.320 | $14.42 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?No | sell | 15.73 | $0.982 | $15.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.889 | $17.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 19.13 | $0.910 | $17.41 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 24.3 | $0.753 | $18.31 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 44.73 | $0.334 | $14.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No | sell | 27.36 | $0.938 | $25.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by April 30?No | sell | 22.12 | $0.973 | $21.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 52.28 | $0.688 | $35.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 54.9 | $0.710 | $38.98 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | sell | 67.03 | $0.626 | $41.96 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 91.47 | $0.580 | $53.05 | Mar 30, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 18.61 | $0.986 | $18.35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.980 | $20.41 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?No | sell | 30.41 | $0.780 | $23.72 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?Yes | sell | 88.31 | $0.310 | $27.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | sell | 66.97 | $0.850 | $56.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | sell | 137.88 | $0.310 | $42.74 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 53.62 | $0.810 | $43.43 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.060 | $61.51 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 184.84 | $0.660 | $121.99 | Mar 30, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 183.39 | $0.453 | $83.15 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 194.93 | $0.635 | $123.87 | Mar 30, 2026 |