Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Capitão Alberto Neto win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | Yes | 106.66 | $0.750 | $65.6 | -$14.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 100.01 |
| $0.620 |
| $62.01 |
| +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | Yes | 150.94 | $0.530 | $51.32 | -$28.68 |
 Will Trump post "Investigation" on Truth Social this week? | Yes | 69 | $0.655 | $46.23 | +$1.04 |
 Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 46.66 | $0.959 | $43.53 | -$1.21 |
 Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | Yes | 57.5 | $0.823 | $40.16 | -$7.16 |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County? | Yes | 40.52 | $0.776 | $33.49 | +$2.05 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | Yes | 217.49 | $0.518 | $29.36 | -$83.41 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.37 | $0.690 | $28.75 | +$0.21 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 25.01 | $0.630 | $22.38 | +$6.63 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.810 | $21.32 | +$0.26 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 29.69 | $0.730 | $20.93 | -$0.74 |
 Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23 | $0.660 | $19.44 | +$4.26 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $15.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | Yes | 75.75 | $0.396 | $14.01 | -$15.98 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | $0 |
 Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | Yes | 23 | $0.600 | $13.46 | -$0.35 |
 Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | Yes | 22.99 | $0.520 | $11.38 | -$0.57 |
 Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | Yes | 20 | $0.540 | $11.1 | +$0.3 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | 58.76 | $0.160 | $10.87 | +$1.47 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 11? | Yes | 22.99 | $0.690 | $10.35 | -$5.52 |
 Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24.49 | $0.570 | $9.43 | -$4.53 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 15.34 | $0.706 | $9.05 | -$1.78 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours? | Yes | 57.49 | $0.220 | $8.34 | -$4.31 |
 Will Michael Sowers win the 2026 PLL Attackman of the Year? | Yes | 22.41 | $0.535 | $7.4 | -$4.59 |
| sell |
| 46.55 |
| $0.540 |
| $25.14 |
| 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.01 | $0.790 | $2.38 | 1d ago |
 Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | sell | 3.28 | $0.940 | $3.08 | 1d ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.957 | $12.44 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.84 | $0.580 | $16.73 | 1d ago |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.210 | $1.07 | 1d ago |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Yes | sell | 10.36 | $0.250 | $2.59 | 1d ago |
 Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 1d ago |
 Will Grüne win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | sell | 7.13 | $0.470 | $3.35 | 1d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.680 | $3.6 | 1d ago |
 Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.740 | $3.71 | 1d ago |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.494 | $4.45 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.610 | $4.27 | 1d ago |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.932 | $4.66 | 1d ago |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | sell | 9.02 | $0.520 | $4.69 | 1d ago |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.610 | $5.49 | 1d ago |
 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?Yes | sell | 15.6 | $0.370 | $5.77 | 1d ago |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.643 | $5.79 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.580 | $5.91 | 1d ago |
 Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | sell | 7.1 | $0.996 | $7.07 | 1d ago |
 Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.700 | $7.7 | 1d ago |
 Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes | sell | 18.14 | $0.460 | $8.34 | 1d ago |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.720 | $9.36 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.791 | $7.9 | 1d ago |
 Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.730 | $10.95 | 1d ago |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.560 | $11.19 | 1d ago |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.540 | $12.85 | 1d ago |
 Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Yes | sell | 22.99 | $0.636 | $14.62 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 28.25 | $0.660 | $18.65 | 1d ago |
 Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.760 | $18.65 | 1d ago |
 Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 42.5 | $0.469 | $19.93 | 1d ago |
| Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 36.19 | $0.570 | $20.63 | 1d ago |
 Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 19?Yes | sell | 22.99 | $0.930 | $21.38 | 1d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.959 | $9.59 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 39.59 | $0.790 | $31.28 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 53.84 | $0.520 | $28 | 1d ago |
 Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.060 | $1.38 | 2d ago |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | 2d ago |
 Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?No | sell | 30 | $0.971 | $29.13 | 2d ago |
| Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | sell | 22.7 | $0.987 | $22.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 31.91 | $0.977 | $31.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | sell | 13.43 | $0.941 | $12.64 | 2d ago |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes | sell | 61.44 | $0.997 | $61.26 | 2d ago |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.865 | $4.33 | 2d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.810 | $18.63 | 3d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?Yes | sell | 51.71 | $0.150 | $7.76 | 6d ago |