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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 102.06 | $0.441 | $14.8 | -$30.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.960 | $48.02 | 28d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 51.72 |
| $0.290 |
| $2.33 |
| -$12.67 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.300 |
| $15 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 89.33 | $0.112 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.143 | $10 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 36.76 | $0.900 | $33.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.098 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.19 | $0.158 | $15 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | buy | 36.76 | $0.680 | $25 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | buy | 40.49 | $0.494 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.89 | $0.851 | $89.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.362 | $20.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.11 | $0.394 | $17.36 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 128.59 | $0.039 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.97 | $0.143 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.93 | $0.143 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 97.3 | $0.937 | $91.17 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 39.9 | $0.434 | $17.33 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.019 | $3.02 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 62.23 | $0.090 | $5.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.998 | $55.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.85 | $0.255 | $15 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 26.52 | $0.189 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.210 | $25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.784 | $39.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 39.9 | $0.251 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.33 | $0.254 | $18.63 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 46.29 | $0.350 | $16.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 56.81 | $0.100 | $5.68 | May 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 90.27 | $0.880 | $79.44 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 74.61 | $0.430 | $32.08 | May 26, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.97 | $0.661 | $40.28 | May 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 81.15 | $0.080 | $6.49 | May 25, 2026 |