Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 167.81 | $0.480 | $80.55 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 127.87 |
| $0.630 |
| $80.56 |
| Sep 11, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | buy | 127.87 | $0.628 | $80.26 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 80.26 | $0.973 | $78.09 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 78.58 | $0.985 | $77.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 48.67 | $0.867 | $42.2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 48.67 | $0.850 | $41.37 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?No | sell | 41.93 | $0.971 | $40.71 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?No | sell | 20 | $0.973 | $19.46 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?No | buy | 61.93 | $0.900 | $55.74 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.996 | $6.22 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 49.72 | $0.996 | $49.52 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 49.72 | $0.570 | $28.34 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?No | sell | 29.22 | $0.970 | $28.34 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 44.72 | $0.620 | $27.73 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Israel parliament dissolves in 2024?No | buy | 29.22 | $0.850 | $24.84 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 24.86 | $0.999 | $24.84 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.830 | $5.18 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.964 | $5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 24.86 | $0.861 | $21.4 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 $BTC dips below $50k before August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?Boy | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 27.75 | $0.360 | $9.99 | Jun 25, 2024 |