Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 47.61 | $0.981 | $46.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.27 |
| $0.550 |
| $4 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.95 | $0.109 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?No | buy | 16.45 | $0.304 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 34.33 | $0.291 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 147.59 | $0.136 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |