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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.600 | $891.67 | -$108.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.560 | $650 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.09K |
| $0.479 |
| $866.61 |
| -$133.39 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.560 | $609.37 | -$40.62 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 2.84K | $0.353 | $382.79 | -$617.21 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $332.5 | +$82.5 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 220.04 | $0.246 | $49.18 | -$5.08 |
| buy |
| 370.37 |
| $0.270 |
| $100 |
| 24d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.600 | $1K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 2.84K | $0.353 | $1K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.479 | $1K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 853.27 | $0.997 | $850.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 867.39 | $0.460 | $399 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 624.52 | $0.790 | $493.37 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 853.27 | $0.627 | $535 | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 858.62 | $0.580 | $498 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 220.04 | $0.247 | $54.26 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.625 | $1K | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.600 | $500 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.350 | $500 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.09K | $0.999 | $1.09K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 735.29 | $0.680 | $500 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 715.1 | $0.491 | $351.09 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 715.1 | $0.280 | $200 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.462 | $503.84 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.660 | $300 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 304.84 | $0.651 | $198.45 | Aug 27, 2025 |