Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 416.81 | $0.240 | $100.03 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.77K |
| $0.012 |
| $33.88 |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out before April?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.031 | $30.69 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out before April?Yes | sell | 682.17 | $0.052 | $35.47 | Feb 15, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Yes | buy | 312.57 | $0.160 | $50.01 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out before April?Yes | sell | 237 | $0.042 | $9.97 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out before April?Yes | buy | 578.61 | $0.093 | $53.99 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Netanyahu out before April?Yes | buy | 748.62 | $0.038 | $28.3 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?Yes | sell | 154.44 | $0.150 | $23.17 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?Yes | buy | 183.33 | $0.150 | $27.5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.104 | $24.86 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.086 | $116.26 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.048 | $57.52 | Aug 5, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 567.19 | $0.080 | $45.28 | Aug 3, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?Yes | sell | 2.11K | $0.040 | $84.34 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.100 | $118.57 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.070 | $210 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on August 2?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.48K | $0.018 | $62.63 | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.7K | $0.019 | $51.39 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will Biden drop out on July 25?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.080 | $163.12 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | Jul 20, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 340.82 | $0.652 | $222.21 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Biden drops out in July?Yes | buy | 391.28 | $0.650 | $254.33 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 799.99 | $0.255 | $204 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 498.48 | $0.390 | $194.41 | Jul 15, 2024 |
| Biden drops out in July?Yes | buy | 134.03 | $0.310 | $41.55 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?Yes | sell | 415.28 | $0.100 | $41.56 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | sell | 33.1 | $0.320 | $10.59 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 270 | $0.370 | $99.9 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 186.67 | $0.390 | $72.8 | Jun 28, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.340 | $20.4 | Jun 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.330 | $18.15 | Jun 3, 2024 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 11, 2024 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Apr 29, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 802.38 | $0.062 | $50 | Apr 28, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.035 | $12.5 | Apr 28, 2024 |
 Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | sell | 828.24 | $0.024 | $20 | Apr 28, 2024 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.028 | $10 | Apr 26, 2024 |
| Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 561.8 | $0.089 | $50 | Apr 25, 2024 |
 Shafik out as Columbia President in April?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.138 | $55.3 | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Shafik out as Columbia President in April?Yes | buy | 250.78 | $0.091 | $22.88 | Apr 21, 2024 |
| Shafik out as Columbia President in April?Yes | buy | 160.71 | $0.070 | $11.25 | Apr 20, 2024 |
| Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Apr 19, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.990 | $41.24 | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 55.13 | $0.150 | $8.27 | Apr 16, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 16, 2024 |
 Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.440 | $8 | Mar 30, 2024 |
| Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 30, 2024 |